Bulk bins with printed prices in a Fairfax, Virginia grocery store. Video: USDA, public domain. Silent; stops if your phone is set to reduce motion.
RELEASE DAY
The BLS publishes September CPI at 08:30 ET.
The contract on this page settles to it.
Settles today
● Open · True10 at 42¢
Most you can lose$4.38 + fee
Held at [FCM partner A]. Settles Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 08:30 ET.
EXAMPLE MARKET · NOT A LIVE CONTRACT
P(x)
The September consumer price index rises 0.3% or more on the month.
True
42¢
False
58¢
58% implied
(•) the Bureau of Labor Statistics release 08:30 ET, Wed, Oct 14, 2026, as scheduled by the BLS for September 2026. If it is not published on schedule, the applies. Listed on Kalshi, a CFTC-designated contract market.
WHAT THIS MEASURES
Each month the BLS prices a fixed basket, from groceries and rent to fuel and haircuts, and reports how much the total moved. This contract asks one thing: will the , as first published, be 0.3% or more.
FILM · 30 SECONDS · TO BE MADE
How this settles
1Orders close
2BLS publishes at 08:30 ET
3The venue reads the headline
4The holder pays out
PAST READINGS · MONTHLY CHANGE
Illustrative values. The live chart reads the BLS series. Every bar is one colour: a reading above the line is a fact, not a win.
WHEN IT SETTLES
→Orders taken until the release, Wed, Oct 14, 2026
◷Settling: BLS publishes at 08:30 ET
⊢Settled: the headline figure, as first published
↧Paid to the holder, in the holder's own words
Ask what this contract means
Pick a question. Answers explain the contract and name their source. They never say what to do.
Practice forecast
No money and no prizes. Say how likely you think True is; when the BLS publishes, your forecast is scored.
Your practice record (example): 7 forecasts scored
YOUR RECORD CARD · EXAMPLE
7 practice forecasts scored · calibration 0.21
No prices, no money and no outcomes on it. You choose whether to share it.
for 10 contracts at 42¢$0.18
Information only. Not advice. Predicated has no view on this market. You can lose money.
Your order
EXAMPLE · NOT LIVE
YOUR MOVE
Three questions before your first event contract.
Pick an answer to see the explanation. Nothing is scored against you.
In the product, your answers are kept as a record that this was explained to you.
Contracts
10 contracts × 42¢$4.20
Venue fee, Kalshi$0.18
Predicated fee[not set]
You pay now$4.38 + fee
If true, you receive$10.00
If false, you lose$4.38 + fee
Share of the $220 you gave us2% · limit 5%
× Refused · this would take you past your 5% limit
(•) Settles to the BLS release, 08:30 ET, Wed, Oct 14, 2026 Fallback: [written]. Your money is held by [FCM partner A], in its segregated customer account.
Buy 10 True at 42¢
You pay now$4.38 + fee
Most you can lose$4.38 + fee
VenueKalshi, through [FCM partner A]
Not a bank, an exchange, a broker-dealer or an FCM, and never the other side of your trade. You can lose money. Not advice. No images or video in this sheet.
LEARN
Term
predicated
One market, as a customer would meet it
Example market, not a live contract. The market leads with the world it measures. Once money is involved, the screen is numbers only.
TRY
Tap any underlined term for a plain explainer
Record a practice forecast: no money, no prizes
Ask the assistant a question, including "Should I buy True?"
Open an order: the first time, a three-question check comes first
Open an order, switch sides, and raise the quantity past the 5% limit
Place an order and watch it move from Ordered to Open
Make a record card under the practice forecast. It carries no prices and no money
Release day: the source leads and the record card turns plain. Place an order first to see "Settles today" on your held contract.